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Journal of Engineering, Project, and Production Management, 2022, 12(2), 108-115

 

Road Traffic Status Prediction Approach Based on Kmeans-Decision Tree Model

 

Xinghua Hu1, Xinghui Chen2, Wei Liu3, and Gao Dai4

1Professor, College of Traffic & Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Nan'an District, Chongqing, China.
E-mail: xhhoo@cqjtu.edu.cn (corresponding author).
2Graduate Student, College of Traffic & Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing, China.
E-mail: Hui981008@163.com
3Professor, College of Traffic & Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing, China. E-mail: neway119@qq.com
4Senior Engineer, Chongqing Ulit Science & Technology Co., Ltd, Chongqing. China, E-mail: 1090685519@qq.com

 

Engineering Management

 

Received September 10, 2021; revised December 9, 202; accepted December 12, 2021

 

Available online December 27, 2021

 

Abstract: An effective way to solve the problem of urban traffic congestion is to predict the road traffic status accurately and take effective traffic control measures in time. Considering the impact of visibility on traffic, the pavement status and time characteristics were finely divided, and a regression decision tree was used to establish the traffic flow velocity prediction model with pavement status, time characteristics, and working day characteristics as characteristic parameters. Furthermore, based on the perspective of avoiding using velocity as a single parameter to classify the road traffic status levels, the Kmeans clustering algorithm was used to obtain the classification label results. Moreover, the traffic flow velocity and pavement status were used as characteristic parameters of the classification decision tree to establish the multi-parameter road traffic status prediction model. The experimental result showed that the prediction accuracy of the proposed road traffic status prediction model was 81.31%, and this method has good applicability and certain application value for road traffic status prediction.

 

Keywords: Traffic engineering, traffic flow velocity, road traffic status prediction, Kmeans clustering, decision tree.

Copyright © Journal of Engineering, Project, and Production Management (EPPM-Journal).

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 Unported License.

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Citation: Hu, X., Chen, X., Liu, W., and Dai, G. (2022). Road Traffic Status Prediction Approach Based on Kmeans-Decision Tree Model. Journal of Engineering, Project, and Production Management, 12(2), 108-115.

DOI: 10.32738/JEPPM-2022-0010

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